Friday, November 27, 2009

SeekingAlpha.com | Global Warming Models: 'Out of Order'?

November 27, 2009 - Last week, e-mails from prominent AGW (Anthrogenic Global Warming) scientists were hacked and posted on a Russian website. They showed attempts to misuse data and keep critics out of peer-reviewed journals. But the most clear statement in all in these e-mails was not dishonest, nor was it arrogant. It was simply pathetic:

The fact is that we can't account for the lack of warming at the moment and it is a travesty that we can't.

In other words, the world is not warming despite continuing emissions of CO2. Their man-made global warming models that seemed to be working so well during the 20th Century are no longer working.

Fortunately, for the scientific world, a new theory has been emerging that has been making correct predictions of climate. As the young field of cosmoclimatology has been explaining, solar activity tends to cause warming partly by blocking out cosmic rays that cause the low-level clouds to form that would reflect solar energy back into space.

According to astrophysicist Nir Shaviv and geophysicist Jan Veizer, periodic changes in cosmic ray influx as the result of the solar system's movement through the galaxy caused periodic swings in the earth's climate between greenhouse and ice ages over the last 540 million years.

According to the research of Willy Soon and Steven Yaskell (authors of Maunder Minimum and the Variable Sun–Earth Connection), low solar activity probably caused the Little Ice Age (1645-1715). Former Harvard professor Soon explains the current cooling period as caused by reduced solar activity.

But the AGW scientists had to minimize the power of solar activity or their entire explanatory fabric would fall apart. The 20th Century, the century during which their models worked, was one in which solar activity, man-made CO2 emissions, and temperatures were all rising at the same time. If solar activity was the cause of the rising temperatures, then it could be that CO2 makes little difference.

Full Article


Source: http://seekingalpha.com/article/175575-global-warming-models-out-of-order