Saturday, July 7, 2012

Dutchsinse | 7/7/2012 -- Severe weather across 42 of the lower 48 states -- hail and damaging winds



Use the multiple links here to monitor severe weather nationally and internationally:
http://sincedutch.wordpress.com/2012/02/12/2122012-weather-monitoring-links-s...
Hail, strong cell thunderstorms, damaging winds across much of the United States ...
Montana, Idaho, Nevada, Utah, Arizona, New Mexico, Colorado, Nebraska, South Dakota, Minnesota, Iowa, Kansas, Oklahoma, Texas, Louisiana, Arkansas, Missouri, Illinois, Michigan, Indiana, Ohio, Kentucky, Tennessee, Mississippi, Alabama, Georgia, Florida, South Carolina, North Carolina, Virginia, Marylan, West Virginia, Washington DC, Massachusetts, Rhode Island, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, Delaware, New Hampshire, New York (city and state), Maine... also... east and northeast of Winnepeg Canada.. and southeast Canada in New Brunswick heading towards Halifax NS.
Have a plan and be prepared for damaging winds, hail, and possibly even tornadoes.

Magnetosphere Update - Saturday JULY 7, 2012



The Japanese magnetosphere website has temporarily ceased updating since Monday April 2, 2012 to "develop more accurate and practical space environment models and will resume the real-time simulation in the near future" (http://swc.nict.go.jp/contents/rt_simulation_e.html) 
 Will post when it becomes available -Cave Editor 
High Frequency Active Auroral Research Program(HAARP)
http://www.haarp.alaska.edu/cgi-bin/magnetometer/gak-mag.cgi
The High Frequency Active Auroral Research Program (HAARP) is an ionospheric research program jointly funded by the US Air Force, the US Navy, the University of Alaska and the Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency (DARPA).
Geomagnetic storminess is usually indicated in oscillatory variations in the earth's magnetic field. Additional detail concerning the nature and severity of the ionospheric disturbance can be found through analysis of the three components of the field. Data from a chain of magnetometers are also available.
HAARP FLUXGATE MAGNETOMETER



http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Magnetosphere
A magnetosphere is formed when a stream of charged particles, such as the solar wind, interacts with and is deflected by the intrinsic magnetic field of a planet or similar body. Earth is surrounded by a magnetosphere, as are the other planets with intrinsic magnetic fields: Mercury, Jupiter, Saturn…


Swedish Institute of Space Physics

The Kiruna magnetogram provides realtime data of the local Earth magnetic field at ground level. Strong deviations in the data, primarily the black line could signal the development of geomagnetic activity. The curves on this plot show deflections from an average. The average is derived from the monthly means of the five most quiet days.


U.S. SEVERE WEATHER MAP - Saturday JULY 7, 2012 at 4:20 PM CT

http://www.wunderground.com/severe.asp





Current LASCO C2 and LASCO C3 - Saturday JULY 7, 2012 at 4PM CT



http://lasco-www.nrl.navy.mil/

LASCO Large Angle and Spectrometric Coronagraph - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
The Large Angle and Spectrometric Coronagraph (LASCO) is one of a number of instruments aboard the Solar and Heliospheric Observatory satellite (SOHO). LASCO consists of three solar coronagraphs with nested fields of view.

SolarHam.com | X1.1 Solar Flare generated Coronal Mass Ejection (CME)


Updated 7/7/2012 @ 03:10 UTC
X1.1 Solar Flare / Minor Radiation Storm
Sunspot 1515 has been teasing us with countless M-Class solar flares and it finally did what it has been threatening to do over the past several days. A major X1.1 Solar Flare was detected at 23:08 UTC. This event triggered a 10cm Radio Burst and a Type IV Sweep Frequency Event. The blast did generate a Coronal Mass Ejection, but it looks to be headed south and to the west. This should have little impact on Earth. The protons blasted away from the flare site are currently streaming past Earth and a S1 Minor Radiation Storm is in progress.


Friday, July 6, 2012

SolarHam.com | ALERT: Geomagnetic K-index of 5 - Threshold Reached: 2012 Jul 06 2241 UTC


On top of all the Solar Flare excitement, the K index is at or near the G1 Geomagnetic Storm threshold. For anybody new to following the solar events, this is unrelated to the large solar flare that just took place. A CME plasma cloud blasting away from the Sun will take normally 48-72 hours to reach Earth. Based on the location of Sunspot 1515, it is no longer in prime position for direct Earthbound explosions. More updates once more images are available.



ALERT: Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2012 Jul 06 2241 UTC
Synoptic Period: 2100-2400 UTC
Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor
Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

SolarHam.com | X-Class Solar Flare - Friday JULY 6, 2012


A major solar flare reaching X1.1 peaked at 23:08 UTC Friday evening.
The flare was centered around Sunspot 1515.



Sunspot 1515 has been teasing us with countless M-Class solar flares and it finally did what it has been threatening to do over the past several days. A major X1.1 Solar Flare was detected at 23:08 UTC. This event triggered a 10cm Radio Burst and a Type IV Sweep Frequency Event. More updates to follow should a Coronal Mass Ejection (CME) be associated. 


The X1.1 Solar Flare did generate a Coronal Mass Ejection, but it looks to be headed south and to the west. This should have little impact on Earth. The protons blasted away from the flare site are currently at elevated levels, however it currently remains below the S1 Minor Radiation Storm threshold.



Here is the new updated list of X-Class events to take place during Solar Cycle 24. The latest event is the 13th X-Class Flare of the current cycle.

X6.9 - August 9 2011 (1263)
X5.4 - March 7 2012 (1429)
X2.2 - February 15 2011 (1158)
X2.1 - September 6 2011 (1283)
X1.9 - November 3 2011 (1339)
X1.9 - September 24 2011 (1302)
X1.8 - September 7 2011 (1283)
X1.7 - January 27 2012 (1402)
X1.5 - March 9 2011 (1166)
X1.4 - September 22 2011 (1302)
X1.3 - March 7 2012 (1429)
X1.1 - July 6 2012 (1515)
X1.1 - March 4 2012 (1429)


Solar Flares: What Does It Take to Be X-Class?
http://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/sunearth/news/X-class-flares.html

Magnetosphere Update - Friday JULY 6, 2012



The Japanese magnetosphere website has temporarily ceased updating since Monday April 2, 2012 to "develop more accurate and practical space environment models and will resume the real-time simulation in the near future" (http://swc.nict.go.jp/contents/rt_simulation_e.html) 
 Will post when it becomes available -Cave Editor 
High Frequency Active Auroral Research Program(HAARP)
http://www.haarp.alaska.edu/cgi-bin/magnetometer/gak-mag.cgi
The High Frequency Active Auroral Research Program (HAARP) is an ionospheric research program jointly funded by the US Air Force, the US Navy, the University of Alaska and the Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency (DARPA).
Geomagnetic storminess is usually indicated in oscillatory variations in the earth's magnetic field. Additional detail concerning the nature and severity of the ionospheric disturbance can be found through analysis of the three components of the field. Data from a chain of magnetometers are also available.
HAARP FLUXGATE MAGNETOMETER



http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Magnetosphere
A magnetosphere is formed when a stream of charged particles, such as the solar wind, interacts with and is deflected by the intrinsic magnetic field of a planet or similar body. Earth is surrounded by a magnetosphere, as are the other planets with intrinsic magnetic fields: Mercury, Jupiter, Saturn…


Swedish Institute of Space Physics

The Kiruna magnetogram provides realtime data of the local Earth magnetic field at ground level. Strong deviations in the data, primarily the black line could signal the development of geomagnetic activity. The curves on this plot show deflections from an average. The average is derived from the monthly means of the five most quiet days.


Current LASCO C2 and LASCO C3 - Friday JULY 6, 2012 at 4PM CT



http://lasco-www.nrl.navy.mil/

LASCO Large Angle and Spectrometric Coronagraph - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
The Large Angle and Spectrometric Coronagraph (LASCO) is one of a number of instruments aboard the Solar and Heliospheric Observatory satellite (SOHO). LASCO consists of three solar coronagraphs with nested fields of view.

SolarHam.com | Strong Solar Flare Alert - Friday JULY 6, 2012



Added 7/6/2012 @ 18:35 UTC
Aurora Watch
Currently our Geomagnetic Field is fairly quiet and visible aurora would be possible only around the polar regions. An increase in geomagnetic activity will be possible starting tomorrow should a CME sweep past our planet as predicted. A potential for minor geomagnetic storming watch was issued today by the NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center.


WATCH: Geomagnetic A-index of 20 or greater predicted
NOAA Scale: Periods reaching the G1 (Minor) Level Likely
Valid for UTC Day: 2012 Jul 07



Updated 7/6/2012 @ 14:40 UTC
Solar Update / 1504 Returns
Solar activity remains moderate with the occasional low level M-Class flare around Sunspot 1515. A new Sunspot is rotating into view off the southeast limb and looks to be the return of old Sunspot 1504 from the previous rotation. There will continue to be a chance for another strong solar flare on Friday.


Thursday, July 5, 2012

Dutchsinse | 7/5/2012 -- Severe weather outbreak -- excessive hail across multiple states



Hail, damaging winds, and quite possibly tornadoes in the making...
Multiple states currently under severe / strong cell thunderstorms, hail, and damaging winds...North Dakota, South Dakota, Nebraska, Wyoming, Colorado, New Mexico, Arizona, Texas, Louisiana, Arkansas, Missouri, Mississippi, Alabama, Florida, Georgia, Tennessee, Kentucky, Illinois, Michigan, Ohio, South Carolina, North Carolina, Virginia, West Virginia, and Pennsylvania .
Watch the new england states as well as Montana, Idaho, Utah...

Magnetosphere Update - Thursday JULY 5, 2012



The Japanese magnetosphere website has temporarily ceased updating since Monday April 2, 2012 to "develop more accurate and practical space environment models and will resume the real-time simulation in the near future" (http://swc.nict.go.jp/contents/rt_simulation_e.html) 
 Will post when it becomes available -Cave Editor 
High Frequency Active Auroral Research Program(HAARP)
http://www.haarp.alaska.edu/cgi-bin/magnetometer/gak-mag.cgi
The High Frequency Active Auroral Research Program (HAARP) is an ionospheric research program jointly funded by the US Air Force, the US Navy, the University of Alaska and the Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency (DARPA).
Geomagnetic storminess is usually indicated in oscillatory variations in the earth's magnetic field. Additional detail concerning the nature and severity of the ionospheric disturbance can be found through analysis of the three components of the field. Data from a chain of magnetometers are also available.
HAARP FLUXGATE MAGNETOMETER



http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Magnetosphere
A magnetosphere is formed when a stream of charged particles, such as the solar wind, interacts with and is deflected by the intrinsic magnetic field of a planet or similar body. Earth is surrounded by a magnetosphere, as are the other planets with intrinsic magnetic fields: Mercury, Jupiter, Saturn…


Swedish Institute of Space Physics

The Kiruna magnetogram provides realtime data of the local Earth magnetic field at ground level. Strong deviations in the data, primarily the black line could signal the development of geomagnetic activity. The curves on this plot show deflections from an average. The average is derived from the monthly means of the five most quiet days.


Current LASCO C2 and LASCO C3 - Thursday JULY 5, 2012 at 4PM CT



http://lasco-www.nrl.navy.mil/

LASCO Large Angle and Spectrometric Coronagraph - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
The Large Angle and Spectrometric Coronagraph (LASCO) is one of a number of instruments aboard the Solar and Heliospheric Observatory satellite (SOHO). LASCO consists of three solar coronagraphs with nested fields of view.

LINK - Volcano activity of July 4, 2012 – Canary Islands, Mexico, Guatemala, Colombia, Washington, Papua New Guinea and Philippines



July 4, 2012 - VOLCANIC ACTIVITY

Seismicity and deformation continues at El Hierro (Canary Islands) at rates comparable to those for the past week.  There is no apparent shallowing of earthquake hypocenters beneath the island and reports from earlier today about possible submarine gas emissions off the west coast of the island have been determined to be false.
Gas and ash emissions, accompanied by spasmodic tremor and small volcano-tectonic earthquakes affected Popocatepetl volcano (Mexico) again today.  Satellite images of SO2 emission at the volcano suggest a rhythmic pattern to exhalations there (though this may be partly due to meteorological factors).
Fuego volcano (Guatemala) has been restive the past few days with elevated levels of tremor (station FG3).
In Colombia, Galeras volcano continues to rattle with small earthquakes and short pulses of tremor (station ANGV).
There was a short (though small non-locateable earthquakes are still apparent on seismograms) burst of seismicity at around noon local time today at Mount Saint Helens volcano (WA)(station HSN).  Events were all less than M1.0 and located 3-4 km deep. There has been elevated crustal seismicity surrounding the volcano for the pas year.
RVO reported that four pyroclastic flows traveled down Manam‘s SE flank (Papua New Guinea) on 16 June. The following day activity was low; emissions were mostly steam with occasional ash. During 18-30 June gray ash clouds, that were sometimes black, rose 100-150 m above the crater and drifted mainly NW. Roaring and rumbling noises were sometimes reported. Incandescent tephra was ejected from the crater on most nights; activity during 28-29 June was almost Subplinian. Emissions from Main Crater were milder and mostly characterized by white and bluish plumes. Gray ash plumes were emitted during 18, 23, 26-27, and 29 June. Incandescence from the crater was visible during 18, 20-22, and 24 June. Ash fell in the NW part of the island.
Taal Volcano’s (Philippines) seismic network detected one (1)   volcanic earthquake during the past 24-hour observation period. Ground deformation survey (precise leveling) on the Volcano Island last 15 – 17 February 2012 indicated no significant change compared with October 2011, but is nonetheless still inflated compared with baseline data. GPS data for the period of February 2011 to end of May 2012 show steady deflation beginning in August 2011, but nonetheless also indicated that the edifice is still slightly inflated compared to February 2011 baseline data.
READ MORE:
http://earthquake-report.com/2012/07/05/volcano-activity-of-july-4-2012-canary-islands-mexico-guatemala-colombia-washington-and-papua-new-guinea/

SolarHam.com | STRONG M6.1 Solar Flare - Thursday (7/5/2012)



A strong solar flare reaching M6.1 took place around Sunspot 1515 during the morning of July 5th, 2012. This movie was captured by SDO.

Dutchsinse suggested video | Houses Shaking and 'Mysterious' Bubbles in Louisiana Swamp - July 3, 2012



Mysterious bubbles are rising up out of an Assumption Parish bayou. Officials are trying to figure what's causing them.
Take a ride down Bayou Corne, and there are bubbles of all sizes along the waterway.
"We have reported on May 30th a pipeline leak, which started us coming out and investigating a bubbling in Bayou Corne," said Assumption Parish Homeland Security Director John Boudreaux.
Since then though, pipeline officials have not ruled that out just yet, but said it's unlikely. So now, investigators are going through the process of elimination.
By coincidence, since the bubbling began, many in Assumption Parish are worried
"Our houses shifting and cracks in our sheet rock and our foundation," said Jason Hugh.
"My home moved, and my home shook. My home moved, and I'm on cement," said Debra Charlet.
Officials don't know yet whether the two are related. Boudreaux has taken samples of the bubbles and sent them off for testing. Those samples are expected back in the next couple of weeks."
read more: http://www.wafb.com/story/18910913/assumption-parish-mysterious-bubbles-in-bayou

Wednesday, July 4, 2012

SolarHam.com | Moderate M-Class Solar Flare erupted at 2:42 UTC Thursday JULY 5, 2012


A moderate solar flare reaching M2.2 took place at 02:42 UTC Thursday morning.  This latest flare was again centered around Sunspot 1515.  The Solar X-Ray background levels are hovering in the upper C-Class range.


SolarHam.com | List of Six M- Class Solar Flares today July 4, 2012


Added 7/4/2012 @ 22:34 UTC
M4.6 Flare
The 4th of July fireworks continue. A moderate solar flare reaching M4.6 just peaked at 22:09 UTC. The source will most likely be Sunspot 1515. Moderate to Strong solar flares are now taking place frequently and there is now an increased chance for a major X-Class solar flare within the next 24-48 hours. Below is an updated list of today's solar flare events.

M2.2 @ 02:42 UTC - (Sunspot 1515)
M2.4 @ 01:10 UTC - (Sunspot 1515)
M4.6 @ 22:09 UTC - (Sunspot 1515)
M1.8 @ 16:39 UTC - (Sunspot 1513) "Earth directed CME possible"
M2.3 @ 12:24 UTC - (Sunspot 1515)
M5.3 @ 09:55 UTC - (Sunspot 1515) "Non Earth directed CME generated"

Magnetosphere Update - Wednesday JULY 4, 2012



The Japanese magnetosphere website has temporarily ceased updating since Monday April 2, 2012 to "develop more accurate and practical space environment models and will resume the real-time simulation in the near future" (http://swc.nict.go.jp/contents/rt_simulation_e.html) 
 Will post when it becomes available -Cave Editor 
High Frequency Active Auroral Research Program(HAARP)
http://www.haarp.alaska.edu/cgi-bin/magnetometer/gak-mag.cgi
The High Frequency Active Auroral Research Program (HAARP) is an ionospheric research program jointly funded by the US Air Force, the US Navy, the University of Alaska and the Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency (DARPA).
Geomagnetic storminess is usually indicated in oscillatory variations in the earth's magnetic field. Additional detail concerning the nature and severity of the ionospheric disturbance can be found through analysis of the three components of the field. Data from a chain of magnetometers are also available.
HAARP FLUXGATE MAGNETOMETER



http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Magnetosphere
A magnetosphere is formed when a stream of charged particles, such as the solar wind, interacts with and is deflected by the intrinsic magnetic field of a planet or similar body. Earth is surrounded by a magnetosphere, as are the other planets with intrinsic magnetic fields: Mercury, Jupiter, Saturn…


Swedish Institute of Space Physics

The Kiruna magnetogram provides realtime data of the local Earth magnetic field at ground level. Strong deviations in the data, primarily the black line could signal the development of geomagnetic activity. The curves on this plot show deflections from an average. The average is derived from the monthly means of the five most quiet days.