Saturday, July 14, 2012

SolarHam.com | Minor geomagnetic storming persists after CME plasma cloud swept past Earth earlier today

 If you are high in latitude, be on the lookout for Aurora after the sun sets tonight.


K-Index Definition
The K-index is a code that is related to the maximum fluctuations of horizontal components observed on a magnetometer relative to a quiet day, during a three-hour interval. The conversion table from maximum fluctuation (nT) to K-index, varies from observatory to observatory in such a way that the historical rate of occurrence of certain levels of K are about the same at all observatories. In practice this means that observatories at higher geomagnetic latitude require higher levels of fluctuation for a given K-index.

More information on the K-Index and Kp Index + conversion formula.
http://sec.noaa.gov/info/Kindex.html

Dutchsinse | 7/14/2012 -- Severe weather continues across the US -- also UK watch out for more



Use the links here to monitor severe weather nationally, and internationally:
http://sincedutch.wordpress.com/2012/02/12/2122012-weather-monitoring-links-s...
Once again, we are seeing severe weather..... hail, and damaging winds ... break out across approximately 3/4 of the USA --- also into canada, mexico... and towards Puerto Rico.
Currently, strong cell thunderstorms, damaging winds, and hail are active in these states and countries in North America:
British Columbia Canada, Washington State, Oregon, California, Nevada, Idaho, Montana, Utah, New Mexico, Arizona, Colorado, Wyoming, North Dakota, Minnesota, Wisconsin, Michigan, Iowa, Missouri, Illinois, Indiana, Ohio, Pennsylvania, West Virginia, Virginia, Tennessee, Kentucky, Texas, Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama, Georgia, Florida, South Carolina, North Carolina, Washington DC, Delaware, New Jersey, Maine, New Brunswick Canada, North Mexico, Puerto Rico, and Cuba.
Be aware in the UK that the storms coming from the South USA (tropical flow) are pulling NE across the atlantic... thus meaning you can expect more strong systems to be coming your direction over the next week.

Magnetosphere Update - Saturday JULY 14, 2012



The Japanese magnetosphere website has temporarily ceased updating since Monday April 2, 2012 to "develop more accurate and practical space environment models and will resume the real-time simulation in the near future" (http://swc.nict.go.jp/contents/rt_simulation_e.html) 
 Will post when it becomes available -Cave Editor 
High Frequency Active Auroral Research Program(HAARP)
http://www.haarp.alaska.edu/cgi-bin/magnetometer/gak-mag.cgi
The High Frequency Active Auroral Research Program (HAARP) is an ionospheric research program jointly funded by the US Air Force, the US Navy, the University of Alaska and the Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency (DARPA).
Geomagnetic storminess is usually indicated in oscillatory variations in the earth's magnetic field. Additional detail concerning the nature and severity of the ionospheric disturbance can be found through analysis of the three components of the field. Data from a chain of magnetometers are also available.
HAARP FLUXGATE MAGNETOMETER



http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Magnetosphere
A magnetosphere is formed when a stream of charged particles, such as the solar wind, interacts with and is deflected by the intrinsic magnetic field of a planet or similar body. Earth is surrounded by a magnetosphere, as are the other planets with intrinsic magnetic fields: Mercury, Jupiter, Saturn…
Swedish Institute of Space Physics

The Kiruna magnetogram provides realtime data of the local Earth magnetic field at ground level. Strong deviations in the data, primarily the black line could signal the development of geomagnetic activity. The curves on this plot show deflections from an average. The average is derived from the monthly means of the five most quiet days.



3-DAY GOES Magnetometer


Current LASCO C2 and LASCO C3 - Saturday JULY 14, 2012 at 4PM CT



http://lasco-www.nrl.navy.mil/

LASCO Large Angle and Spectrometric Coronagraph - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
The Large Angle and Spectrometric Coronagraph (LASCO) is one of a number of instruments aboard the Solar and Heliospheric Observatory satellite (SOHO). LASCO consists of three solar coronagraphs with nested fields of view.

SolarHam.com Link: Latest Spaceweather Alerts and Warnings

http://www.solarham.net/bulletins.htm



Dutchsinse | 7/14/2012 -- Large Solar Storm impacting soon = Starting at 5-7am EDT



Sunrise on the east coast -- wonder if the sun might feel a bit more intense today.. 
impacting this AM (july 14, 2012)
http://www.universetoday.com/96286/incoming-cme-on-its-way-toward-earth/
Updated by NASA from Goddard Space Weather Center. :
"Impact with Earth is expected on 7/14 at 10:20 UT (+-7 hrs), 6:20 am EDT."
Read more: 
http://www.universetoday.com/96286/incoming-cme-on-its-way-toward-earth/#ixzz...
More from NASA:
"The arrival of the solar storm will be approximately 5am EDT Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to minor storm levels with a slight chance for isolated periods at major storm levels on day one (14 July), due the arrival of the 12 July CME. Unsettled to active levels with a chance for minor storm periods are expected on day two (15 July), as effects of the CME continue. A return to predominantly quiet levels is expected on day three (16 July). "

Friday, July 13, 2012

LINK: Solar storm incoming: Federal agencies provide inconsistent, confusing information

http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/capital-weather-gang/post/solar-storm-incoming-federal-agencies-provide-inconsistent-confusing-information/2012/07/13/gJQAkm06hW_blog.html



Magnetosphere Update - Friday JULY 13, 2012



The Japanese magnetosphere website has temporarily ceased updating since Monday April 2, 2012 to "develop more accurate and practical space environment models and will resume the real-time simulation in the near future" (http://swc.nict.go.jp/contents/rt_simulation_e.html) 
 Will post when it becomes available -Cave Editor 
High Frequency Active Auroral Research Program(HAARP)
http://www.haarp.alaska.edu/cgi-bin/magnetometer/gak-mag.cgi
The High Frequency Active Auroral Research Program (HAARP) is an ionospheric research program jointly funded by the US Air Force, the US Navy, the University of Alaska and the Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency (DARPA).
Geomagnetic storminess is usually indicated in oscillatory variations in the earth's magnetic field. Additional detail concerning the nature and severity of the ionospheric disturbance can be found through analysis of the three components of the field. Data from a chain of magnetometers are also available.
HAARP FLUXGATE MAGNETOMETER



http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Magnetosphere
A magnetosphere is formed when a stream of charged particles, such as the solar wind, interacts with and is deflected by the intrinsic magnetic field of a planet or similar body. Earth is surrounded by a magnetosphere, as are the other planets with intrinsic magnetic fields: Mercury, Jupiter, Saturn…
Swedish Institute of Space Physics

The Kiruna magnetogram provides realtime data of the local Earth magnetic field at ground level. Strong deviations in the data, primarily the black line could signal the development of geomagnetic activity. The curves on this plot show deflections from an average. The average is derived from the monthly means of the five most quiet days.


Current LASCO C2 and LASCO C3 - Friday JULY 13, 2012 at 7PM CT



http://lasco-www.nrl.navy.mil/

LASCO Large Angle and Spectrometric Coronagraph - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
The Large Angle and Spectrometric Coronagraph (LASCO) is one of a number of instruments aboard the Solar and Heliospheric Observatory satellite (SOHO). LASCO consists of three solar coronagraphs with nested fields of view.

Dutchsinse | 7/13/2012 -- Large incoming X-class Flare / CME = Multiple shots from SDO



Multiple views of the large Coronal Mass Ejection (CME) X - Class 1.7 Flare from the SDO (solar dynamics observatory) -- last 48 hours current images -- July 11, 2012 into July 13, 2012.
http://sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov/data/

Thursday, July 12, 2012

Dutchsinse | 7/12/2012 -- Solar Storm incoming + Severe weather and Earthquake update



A large CME (coronal mass ejection).. earth directed.. will intersect earth within 2-3 days from today (July 12, 2012).. this could cause aurora to be produced further south than normal.. also could cause communications disruption, power grid failure.. possible larger scale earthquakes, and possibly intensify severe weather already forming.
Have a "power outage" plan read for the solar storm just in case.
Also.. be prepared for severe weather, and possible earthquake activity to increase over the next several days (into next week).

Solar.Ham.com | Video - CME captured by STEREO Behind COR2 and CME Forecast Track (7/12/2012)



As per the latest CME track from the Goddard Space Center, the fast moving plasma cloud from today will impact our Geomagnetic Field on Saturday, July 14th with a nearly direct hit. Geomagnetic Storming will be possible and this could lead to very nice Aurora displays at higher latitudes.

HAARP Fluxgate Magnetosphere Update - Thursday JULY 12, 2012



The Japanese magnetosphere website has temporarily ceased updating since Monday April 2, 2012 to "develop more accurate and practical space environment models and will resume the real-time simulation in the near future" (http://swc.nict.go.jp/contents/rt_simulation_e.html) 
 Will post when it becomes available -Cave Editor 
High Frequency Active Auroral Research Program(HAARP)
http://www.haarp.alaska.edu/cgi-bin/magnetometer/gak-mag.cgi
The High Frequency Active Auroral Research Program (HAARP) is an ionospheric research program jointly funded by the US Air Force, the US Navy, the University of Alaska and the Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency (DARPA).
Geomagnetic storminess is usually indicated in oscillatory variations in the earth's magnetic field. Additional detail concerning the nature and severity of the ionospheric disturbance can be found through analysis of the three components of the field. Data from a chain of magnetometers are also available.
HAARP FLUXGATE MAGNETOMETER



http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Magnetosphere
A magnetosphere is formed when a stream of charged particles, such as the solar wind, interacts with and is deflected by the intrinsic magnetic field of a planet or similar body. Earth is surrounded by a magnetosphere, as are the other planets with intrinsic magnetic fields: Mercury, Jupiter, Saturn…
Swedish Institute of Space Physics

The Kiruna magnetogram provides realtime data of the local Earth magnetic field at ground level. Strong deviations in the data, primarily the black line could signal the development of geomagnetic activity. The curves on this plot show deflections from an average. The average is derived from the monthly means of the five most quiet days.


Current LASCO C2 and LASCO C3 - Thursday JULY 12, 2012 at 3:15 PM CT

  


http://lasco-www.nrl.navy.mil/

LASCO Large Angle and Spectrometric Coronagraph - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
The Large Angle and Spectrometric Coronagraph (LASCO) is one of a number of instruments aboard the Solar and Heliospheric Observatory satellite (SOHO). LASCO consists of three solar coronagraphs with nested fields of view.

SolarHam.com | Video - X1.4 Solar Flare + CME (7/12/2012)



A major and long duration eruption reaching X1.4 around Sunspot 1520 peaked at 16:52 UTC Thursday afternoon. Type II and IV Sweep Frequency Events were recorded. This event was also responsible for a Strong R3 Radio Blackout on the sunlit side of Earth. A Coronal Mass Ejection was also produced and looks to be Earth directed.

SolarHam.com | Coronal Mass Ejection CME is now visible in the latest STEREO-B COR2 images

It should also be noted that the Earth bound Proton levels are now increasing. A Radiation Storm is likely.


SolarHam.com | X-Class Solar Flare around Sunspot 1520 is currently In Progress - (7/12/12)


A major solar flare reaching X1.4 peaked at 16:52 UTC Thursday afternoon

Added 7/12/2012 @ 16:20 UTC
Sunspot 1520 Eruption in Progress


The silence is broken! A major eruption around Sunspot 1520 is currently In Progress. The Flare is currently at X1.4 and long in duration. A bright Coronal Mass Ejection will most likely result from this blast.

ALERT: Type IV Radio Emission
Begin Time: 2012 Jul 12 1615 UTC
Description: Type IV emissions occur in association with major eruptions on the sun and are typically associated with strong coronal mass ejections and solar radiation storms.

ALERT: Type II Radio Emission
Begin Time: 2012 Jul 12 1625 UTC
Estimated Velocity: 1268 km/s
Description: Type II emissions occur in association with eruptions on the sun and typically indicate a coronal mass ejection is associated with a flare event.


Earthquake Update - Thursday JULY 12, 2012 at 1:55 AM CT

Latest Earthquakes Magnitude 2.5 or Greater in the United States and Adjacent Areas and Magnitude 4.5 or Greater in the Rest of the World
http://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/recenteqsww/Quakes/quakes_all.php

Update time = Thu Jul 12 6:30:43 UTC 2012
 MAGUTC DATE-TIME
y/m/d h:m:s
LAT
deg
LON
deg
DEPTH
km
 Region
MAP 2.6  2012/07/12 06:28:45   19.421  -155.488 37.0  ISLAND OF HAWAII, HAWAII
MAP 4.5  2012/07/12 04:54:47   36.106   139.922 43.3  EASTERN HONSHU, JAPAN
MAP 5.2  2012/07/12 04:11:20  -10.779   165.914 158.9  SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS
MAP 5.0  2012/07/12 04:04:13   -0.478   -19.826 10.0  CENTRAL MID-ATLANTIC RIDGE
MAP 2.6  2012/07/12 02:56:32   39.904  -120.786 6.3  NORTHERN CALIFORNIA
MAP 4.3  2012/07/12 02:20:24   45.701   26.508 109.4  ROMANIA
MAP 3.8  2012/07/12 02:11:37   19.279   -64.936 14.0  VIRGIN ISLANDS REGION
MAP 5.3  2012/07/12 01:43:04   14.884   -90.885 215.2  GUATEMALA
MAP 3.4  2012/07/12 01:36:55   19.295   -64.927 68.0  VIRGIN ISLANDS REGION
MAP 4.9  2012/07/12 01:22:17  -49.397   121.466 10.1  WESTERN INDIAN-ANTARCTIC RIDGE
MAP 3.2  2012/07/12 00:35:07   18.911   -67.250 42.0  PUERTO RICO REGION
MAP 4.6  2012/07/12 00:09:31   17.318   120.861 61.8  LUZON, PHILIPPINES
MAP 3.1  2012/07/12 00:01:18   19.237   -64.948 62.0  VIRGIN ISLANDS REGION