Monday, September 5, 2011

Monday Morning Solar Update and current LASCO C2 - Sep 5, 2011 at 10:40 AM CDT


http://www.solen.info/solar/

At midnight UTC the visible solar disk had 8 spotted regions (in 2K resolution SDO images).

Region 11277 decayed slowly and quietly.
Region 11279 decayed slowly and could soon become spotless.
[Region 11280 displayed very impressive growth and became a DKC region before rotating out of view. A major flare is possible for the next 1-2 days while the region is just behind the northwest limb. Flares: C8.3 at 01:07, C9.0 at 04:53, estimated M1 at 05:47 (GOES xray data dropped out for about 40 minutes and the flare was recorded by SWPC as C4 with a peak at 06:15 when data returned. This was well into the decay phase of the flare. Comparison with other data sources (EVE, Wave) points to a magnitude just above M1), M3.2 at 11:45, C5.8 at 15:34 UTC]
Region 11281 decayed further and was quiet.
Region 11282 decayed slowly and quietly.
Region 11283 developed with a new penumbra forming to the north of the largest penumbra. The new penumbra has a magnetic delta structure. C flares and a minor M class flare is possible.
Region 11287 was quiet and stable.

Spotted regions not numbered by NOAA/SWPC:
[S1195] emerged in the northeast quadrant on September 3 and developed slowly on September 4. Location at midnight: N18E52
[S1196] emerged in the southeast quadrant on September 4. Location at midnight: S18E34
[S1197] emerged in the northwest quadrant on September 4. Location at midnight: N35W55




Solar X-Rays: Multiple C-Class and low level M-Class flares continue to be detected around departing Sunspot 1286. The Solar X-Rays should decrease somewhat once this bright limb region continues to rotate further out of direct earth view. None of the Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) will be earth directed because of the location.
http://www.solarham.com/