I think we are intentionally being deceived about the disruption of the solar cycle . The Anomaly would appear to be magnetic in nature . This would explain the sub-storms and the breeches that have been detected in the Magnetosphere with visual observations of aurora under even weak streams . The rapid dissipation of any sunspots that attempt to form are also another marker that we are dealing with a type of magnetic anomaly . You might recall the false start of Solar Cycle 24 that happened back in August 2006 with the usual backward sunspot that in the past would have marked the end of the cycle with the reversal of polarity nature of a sunspot . Solar Cycle 24 would have started on time back in 2006 and in line with previous solar cycles 21 , 22 and 23 to complete a 40 year cycle . This is why I selected the imagery in this movie to show the difference in cycle progression between Solar Cycle 23 & 24. under the assumption we are in a deepening mimimum . You have to recall a cycle historically can be as short as 9 years and as long as 14 years and not the standard deviation of 12 years .
With this video we use visual solar imagery to show the difference in the Sun
Magnetism continues to be at multicentury lows with brief sporadic activity where sunspots are able to begin to form . But for the most part the fields are to weak to sustain them.We are going to surpass the 256 blank days of 2008 and will rank in the top 5 modern blank periods by the end of the year even with the skewing of data . By this time next year we will be talking about a minimum we have not seen the likes of since the 1780's
10 year Solar Cycle 21 from June 1976 to September 1986 with 273 blank days
10 year Solar Cycle 22 from September 1986 to May 1996 with 309 blank days
Solar Cycle 23 from May 1996 to " Under Dispute 2006 , 2008 " 716 blank days
Solar Cycle 24 " Under Dispute 2006 , 2008 "
I would like to see every sunspot since 2007 audited to verify the integrity of their official counts .Some of the areas that have been counted over the last few years I would hardly call sunspots . They are often not completely darkend or they are nothing more than an aggravated pore. It also goes to show you there is just not enough magnetism to support these so called Sunspots as they are short period , Some lasting a few hours to a rare few that have survived past 24 hours . It is my thoughts this type of activity is quite common in past periods of minimum . They just were not counted because they could not be seen with the observational tools of the day . But for whatever reason they have allowed the counting of these sunspots during the modern minimum . I submit they would have never been considered prior to the 21 century and by counting them we are skewing historical data dating back hundreds of years .With this accusation I suggest we are now over 1,000 blank days since 2006 if all the sunspots that do not quantify were to be removed and we are quickly nearing year 4 of this minimum at this time . I expect this activity to bleed over into solar cycle 25 .This may be just like the period in the 1780's known as the lost cycle
Today September 14 , 2009 we should have matched the second place in all time blank days . You will recall that micro sunspot that showed up for less than 24 hours on August 31 , 2009 # 1025.
Official All Time Blank Days since 1850
5th place from Solar Cycle 24 from July to August at 51 days
4th place from Solar Cycle 24 from July to September 2008 at 52 days
3rd place from Solar Cycle 12 from February to April 1879 at 54 days
~ 2nd place from Solar Cycle 14 from March to May 1901 at 63 days ~
Recent observations seem to indicate that we are moving further into a minimum pattern . TSI , magnetism and solar flux continue to decrease .
Most of 2009 has seen us in the mid 1360 range. Solar cycle 23 TSI peak was set back in back in 2004 @ 1362 + .
June 2009 Solar Flux 68.6 Sunspot 2.6 ( 3.1 predicted +0.5 )
July 2009 Solar Flux 68.2 Sunspot 3.5 ( 3.9 predicted +0.8 )
August 2009 Solar Flux 67.3 Sunspot 0.0 ( 4.7 predicted +0.8 )
September 2009 Solar Flux 68.8 Sunspot 0.4 ( 5.8 predicted +1.1 )
The comparrison animations in this video are from 1999 and 2009 Imagery used SOHO EIT 195 - EIT 304 - LASCO C3 - LASCO C2 ~ Credit NASA / ESA
Modern Maximum19502006
Modern Minimum 2006 ?
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